Month: April 2023

Millie Turner scored a last-gasp header to boost Manchester United’s title charge as they came from behind to claim a narrow 3-2 Super League victory at Aston Villa.

Rachel Daly’s double was cancelled out by Leah Galton and Nikita Parris before Turner sealed three points for the table-topping visitors with a late goal in stoppage-time.

The win hands United a huge boost in the title race and they are now six points clear at the summit.

Alessia Russo and Katie Zelem both tested Hannah Hampton, but despite United’s early pressure, Villa took the lead in the ninth minute from a corner after Daly made a good run across the box to nod a brilliant looping header into the top-left corner.

Their lead was short-lived as six minutes later Ona Batlle hit a fantastic cross to pick out Galton at the back post and the forward stuck her leg out to turn the ball home for the equaliser.

Anna Patten nearly restored Villa’s lead but her header smashed off the crossbar before Hampton made a great save to deny Galton.

Mayumi Pacheco teed up Daly in the 37th minute as the England international completed her brace with a first-time effort from Pacheco’s cross, finding the far corner for the hosts to retake the lead going into the break.

Russo had a couple of chances for United at the start of the second half but a great move from Villa came incredibly close to extending their lead as Daly almost earned her hat-trick smashing the ball off the crossbar.

The visitors then capitalised to level in the 62nd minute when Hannah Blundell picked out Parris at the far post and she was able to head home from close range.

United kept pressing as Martha Thomas’ effort went well wide of the post before Hampton made an excellent dive to hold onto Ella Toone’s cross, but Turner then found a dramatic winner three minutes into stoppage-time with a great header into the bottom-right corner from a free-kick.

Lee Ashcroft’s stoppage-time header came back off a post as Scottish Championship leaders Dundee were frustrated by struggling Cove Rangers in a goalless draw that handed the advantage to Queen’s Park in the title race.

Ashcroft headed against the upright during five minutes added on to a match in which Dundee could not make their dominance pay against their relegation-battling opponents, with only four of their 16 attempts at goal on target.

The best chance of the first half came early on when Ashcroft headed narrowly over from close range, while early in the second half Mark Reynolds made a superb intervention to deny Barry Maguire what looked to be a tap-in.

Lyall Cameron sliced over late on while Luke McCowan missed the target with a tame header before Ashcroft was denied late on, meaning Queen’s Park could go one point above them at the top if they win at Morton on Saturday.

Queen’s Park will then host what will be a title decider between the top two next Friday.

Lee Ashcroft’s stoppage-time header came back off a post as Scottish Championship leaders Dundee were frustrated by struggling Cove Rangers in a goalless draw that handed the advantage to Queen’s Park in the title race.

Ashcroft headed against the upright during five minutes added on to a match in which Dundee could not make their dominance pay against their relegation-battling opponents, with only four of their 16 attempts at goal on target.

The best chance of the first half came early on when Ashcroft headed narrowly over from close range, while early in the second half Mark Reynolds made a superb intervention to deny Barry Maguire what looked to be a tap-in.

Lyall Cameron sliced over late on while Luke McCowan missed the target with a tame header before Ashcroft was denied late on, meaning Queen’s Park could go one point above them at the top if they win at Morton on Saturday.

Queen’s Park will then host what will be a title decider between the top two next Friday.

– Man Utd have lost the 2nd half in three of their last five games 
– United have scored only two second-half goals in their last seven PL games 
– Aston Villa have won the 2nd half in five of their last seven PL games 
– Recommended Bet: Aston Villa to win the second half

After an exhausting sequence of away games, Manchester United return to Old Trafford on Sunday to meet the challenge of in-form Aston Villa.

Erik ten Hag’s team looked weary in the second half of their 2-2 draw at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Thursday, perhaps unsurprisingly in the wake of their draining FA Cup semi-final win over Brighton last Sunday.

Revitalised Villa have established the Premier League’s joint-longest unbeaten run, winning eight and drawing two since their last defeat back in February.

Unai Emery’s side lie in sixth place, six points behind the Red Devils — having played two games more..

They can boost their chances of bringing European football to the West Midlands and damage United’s top-four hopes with a victory at Old Trafford.

Team news

Ten Hag’s central defensive options were depleted further on Thursday when it emerged that Harry Maguire had picked up an injury in training.

If the England defender remains unavailable, Ten Hag will deploy Luke Shaw alongside Victor Lindelof again.

Lisandro Martinez (foot) and Donny van de Beek (knee) have been ruled out for the rest of the campaign and Raphael Varane seems unlikely to be available until the end of May at the earliest.

Alejandro Garnacho is back in training and nearing a return, while Scott McTominay’s likely return date is still unknown.

As for Villa, midfielder Jacob Ramsey is on course to be fit despite rolling his ankle against Fulham on Tuesday.

Emery could name an unchanged line-up for the fourth game in a row with red-hot striker Ollie Watkins leading the forward line.

Full-back Matty Cash and midfielders Boubacar Kamara, Philippe Coutinho and Leon Bailey all remain out of contention.

The stats

United were Villa’s opponents for the first two games of Emery’s reign back in November, losing the first clash 3-1 in the Premier League at Villa Park before avenging that defeat four days later in the Carabao Cup third round at Old Trafford.

Villa’s last Premier League defeat came at home to Arsenal on February 18 when Emery’s side lost 4-2 after conceding two goals in stoppage time.

Villans’ top scorer Ollie Watkins scored in his fourth consecutive league game that day and has since reached a total of 15 goals in all competitions so far, including five in his last six league games.

Prediction

United were found wanting in the second half against Spurs and appear to have changed characteristic from a side that started slowly but came on strong earlier this season.

Ten Hag’s team now fade late in games and their stamina will be given a severe test by a physical Villa unit that will arrive in Manchester having had an extra two days’ rest.

The late goals and thrilling finishes no longer work in United’s favour now while their game management once ahead in games also looks questionable.

Emery’s side have won the second half period in five of their last seven games and look in the sort of shape that can force a result after the interval — if they need it.

Back Aston Villa to win the second half at 16/5 with LiveScore Bet.

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Liverpool and Tottenham face off on Sunday in a pivotal game for both teams’ slim Champions League aspirations.

Jurgen Klopp’s man have endured a hugely underwhelming campaign after narrowly missing out on the Premier League title last season, and sit seven points adrift of the top four having played a game more than fourth-placed Manchester United.

Tottenham, under the interim charge of Ryan Mason after Cristian Stellini was sacked following the 6-1 humiliation at Newcastle United, responded to that drubbing by recovering from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 with Erik ten Hag’s side.

But Spurs are six adrift of United having played two games more, and defeat at Anfield may well be the final nail in the coffin as far as their top-four hopes are concerned.

And the omens are firmly against Tottenham.

A kind fixture for Klopp

Indeed, Liverpool have dominated recent meetings between these two sides. The Reds have lost just one of their last 20 Premier League games against Spurs (W13 D6), and are unbeaten in 10 since a 4-1 loss at Wembley in October 2017.

Anfield has been far from a happy hunting ground for Spurs, who have won just two of their last 35 away league games against Liverpool (D10 L23), winning 2-1 in August 1993 and 2-0 in May 2011.

On top of that, Tottenham are winless in five Premier League away games, losing as many games in this run (3) as they had in their previous 16 on the road beforehand (W8 D5). It’s their longest run without an away league win since a run of 12 between February and November 2019.

The 31 away league goals Tottenham have conceded this season are their most in a single campaign since 2008-09 (35), while the only two clean sheets they have kept outside London this term came in victories at Nottingham Forest (2-0) and Brighton and Hove Albion (1-0). Liverpool should be very confident of breaching the Tottenham goal.

Leaky Liverpool

Liverpool have concern in defence themselves. Klopp’s side have conceded four goals in their last two Premier League home games (2-2 v Arsenal, 3-2 v Nottingham Forest), as many as they had in their previous nine at Anfield. The Reds have not conceded at least two goals in three consecutive home league games since September 2012.

Alisson has failed to keep a clean sheet in Liverpool’s last three Premier League games, but they have won all of those games.

Liverpool have form for prevailing this season despite consistently shipping goals. They haven’t won four games in a row since November and December and conceded in each of those games.

Goals appear to be a given in this one, and the primary threats are easy to identify.

A game to savour for Salah

Tottenham will not be relishing facing Mohamed Salah again. Since he joined Liverpool in 2017, no player has scored more Premier League goals against Tottenham than the Egyptian (7). The Liverpool talisman netted both goals in Liverpool’s 2-1 win over Spurs in the reverse fixture this season.

Salah has been involved in 11 goals in his last eight home games in all competitions (8 goals, 3 assists), scoring at least once in each of his last six. Not since Luis Suarez scored in eight successive home games between April 2013 and January 2014 has a Liverpool player found the net in more consecutive games at Anfield.

At the other end, Liverpool will obviously be focused on stopping Harry Kane and Son Heung-min, though that is easier said than done.

Six of Tottenham’s last seven Premier League goals against Liverpool have been scored by either Kane (3) or Son (3). Kane has scored eight times against Liverpool in the competition, with only Andrew Cole netting more against the Reds (11).

But Kane goals do not automatically mean victory for Tottenham on the road. He has scored in each of his last three Premier League away games, with Spurs failing to win all three (D2 L1). The last player to score in four consecutive away appearances in the division but not win any of them was Steven Fletcher between April and September 2012.

Milan’s game against Roma on Saturday is “worth double” as both teams vie for Champions League qualification, says Rossoneri head coach Stefano Pioli.

Milan occupy the all-important fourth place in Serie A, but only by virtue of their superior goal difference, with Roma also on 56 points ahead of Saturday’s vital clash.

Pioli’s men head to Stadio Olimpico where the Giallorossi have kept seven clean sheets in their last eight home league matches, with no other team in the top five European leagues keeping more since the turn of the year.

Pioli acknowledged the importance of the fixture in his pre-match press conference, telling reporters: “We need to give continuity to our performances, making sure that the next match is the most important one.

“Tomorrow’s match is worth double and we need to face it with the right spirit and convictions.

“It’s worth a lot. After tomorrow there will be six games left. The more points we get, the more chance we have of getting into the top-four places, which is our great goal.”

Pioli was asked about his close relationship with winger Rafael Leao, who recently said his head coach was like his “father” having accumulated 22 goal involvements in 41 appearances for Milan this season in all competitions.

“My players are all my children, from morning to night,” Pioli said. “Even when I’m at home I think of them.

“I talk to them every day, both about football and about other situations: they are lucky, but they have the problems of 20-year-olds.

“Rafa is the player who has been in my office the most in recent years, so there is the strongest bond.”

If a statement win was what Manchester City were after against Arsenal on Wednesday, then they got it.

City thrashed the Premier League leaders 4-1 at the Etihad Stadium to close the gap to the Gunners to two points, and Pep Guardiola’s side still have two games in hand.

The reigning champions play again on Sunday, with a trip to Fulham on the cards. Arsenal, meanwhile, are next in action on Tuesday, when they host struggling Chelsea, who have lost every game under interim boss Frank Lampard.

At the other end of the table, Leicester City face Everton in a relegation six-pointer. In the race for Europe, Tottenham travel to Liverpool.

Fulham v Manchester City

City have won their last 13 meetings with Fulham in all competitions, only winning more consecutively against Watford (15 – 2013-2022) and West Brom (14 – 2012-2018) in their history.

Erling Haaland has scored 33 Premier League goals for Manchester City this season, a record in a 38-game season. He is one away from equalling the overall record for a single season, set by Andrew Cole in 1993-94 and matched by Alan Shearer in 1994-95 (34 goals) in 42-game campaigns. This will be his 30th appearance in the competition, with his 33 goals already more than 21 teams managed in total in their first 30 Premier League games.

Pep Guardiola has won 25 of his 38 Premier League away games against London sides, the highest win rate of any visiting manager to take charge of at least 10 such games (66 per cent). All eight of his defeats in the capital have come against either Tottenham (five) or Chelsea (three).

Best bet – City to avoid defeat: Fulham are winless in their last 15 Premier League meetings with City (D3 L12) since a 3-1 away win in April 2009. They have lost the last 10 in a row by an aggregate score of 28-4.

Long shot – Fulham to keep a clean sheet: Fulham have kept just one clean sheet in their 29 Premier League games against City, a goalless draw in March 2004. 

Opta prediction: City, as expected, are made big favourites (64.8 per cent). The draw is rated at 21.9 per cent, while Fulham are given a 13.3 per cent chance of victory.

Liverpool v Tottenham

Liverpool have lost just one of their last 20 Premier League games against Spurs (W13 D6) and are unbeaten in 10 since a 4-1 loss at Wembley Stadium in October 2017.

Tottenham are winless in five Premier League away games, losing as many games in this run (three) as they had in their previous 16 on the road beforehand (W8 D5). It is their longest run without an away league win since a run of 12 between February and November 2019.

Liverpool have won their last three Premier League matches, despite conceding in each match. The last time they won four games in a row was in November and December earlier this season, also conceding in all four victories.

Best bet – Mohamed Salah to score or assist: Salah has been involved in 11 goals in his last eight home games in all competitions (eight goals, three assists), scoring at least once in each of his last six. Since he joined Liverpool in 2017, no player has scored more Premier League goals against Tottenham than the Egyptian (seven).

Long shot – Liverpool under 1.5 goals: Tottenham have conceded 31 away goals in the Premier League this season, already their most in a single campaign since 2008-09 (35). They have only kept two league clean sheets outside of London this season, doing so in victories at Nottingham Forest (2-0) and Brighton and Hove Albion (1-0).

Opta prediction: The supercomputer hands Liverpool a 55.2 per cent probability of winning this one, while Spurs are given just a 20.0 per cent shot. The draw has a 24.8 per cent likelihood.

Leicester City v Everton

Following their 2-0 win at Goodison Park in November, Leicester are looking to complete a Premier League double over Everton for just the second time, previously doing so in their 2015-16 title winning campaign.

Everton have won their last two Premier League away games against Leicester – they have never won on three consecutive visits to the Foxes in their league history.

Dean Smith has won four and lost none of his six Premier League meetings with Everton, winning three of his four at home against the Toffees. Only Antonio Conte (seven) has faced Everton more without ever losing to them as a manager in the competition.

Best bet – Leicester to concede: Despite Everton’s woeful form in front of goal this season, they should be confident of getting on the scoresheet, given Leicester have conceded in each of their last 18 Premier League games, their joint-longest run without a clean sheet in the competition. 

Long shot – Everton to win: Everton are winless in their last 12 Premier League away games (D5 L7). Since beating Brighton 2-0 in August 2021, they have won just two of their last 33 away league games (D10 L21).

Opta prediction: Everton won this fixture last season, but Opta does not give them much chance of repeating that feat on Monday. Their chances of victory are rated at only 21.8 per cent, while the draw is 26.3 per cent, making Leicester (51.9 per cent) the clear favourites.

Arsenal v Chelsea

Arsenal have won four of their last five Premier League games against Chelsea (L1), as many as they had in their previous 23 against the Blues (D6 L13).

The Gunners are looking to win three consecutive Premier League games against Chelsea for the first time since February 2004. Indeed, they could achieve their second league double in three seasons against the Blues, having done so just once in the previous 20 campaigns beforehand (2003-04).

Chelsea have lost all five matches in all competitions since Lampard’s return to the club, their worst losing run since a six-game run in October and November 1993. The Blues have lost 19 games in total this season, last losing 20 in a single campaign in 1987-88.

Best bet – Bukayo Saka 2+ shots on target: Saka has been directly involved in 16 goals in his 16 Premier League home games this season (nine goals, seven assists). He has both scored and assisted a goal in three different games at Emirates Stadium in the competition this term.

Long shot – Arsenal to fail to score: Only Southampton have kept fewer home clean sheets than Arsenal (three) in the Premier League this season. However, the Gunners have only failed to score in one of their 16 at the Emirates so far this term (0-0 vs Newcastle United in January).

Opta prediction: Arsenal have had a wobble that might prove costly in the title race but will be determined to bounce back. Opta makes them the favourites (43.5 per cent), with Chelsea at 28.2 per cent. The draw is rated at 28.3 per cent.

Thomas Tuchel admitted Bayern Munich have reached the point where “nothing is easy” as he demanded his faltering team show a reaction to losing top spot in the Bundesliga.

Tuchel was undecided about whether to tune in for Borussia Dortmund’s clash with Bochum on Friday, knowing a Dortmund win would lift them four points clear of Bayern.

This weekend sees Bayern have to wait until Sunday for their turn, as they host Hertha Berlin. After that, both they and Dortmund will have four rounds of games remaining.

The clock is ticking, and Bayern’s 10-in-a-row title run is under serious threat following a damaging 3-1 defeat to Mainz last weekend.

Head coach Tuchel has injuries to contend with too. Centre-back Dayot Upamecano will miss the Hertha game due to a thigh strain and faces a fortnight on the sidelines, with striker Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting and wing-back Alphonso Davies also set to be absent.

“I don’t even know if I’m watching Dortmund,” Tuchel said. “For us, the starting position is clear: we no longer have it in our own hands, and now we have to get 15 points.

“We have to improve. It’s not too late to show a reaction. We need them right away on Sunday. More than ever, it’s all about us. We have to deliver and then hope that’s enough.”

Hertha, who sit bottom of the Bundesliga, recently brought in Pal Dardai to replace coach Sandro Schwarz, and for that reason, Tuchel described the strugglers as an “unpredictable” prospect.

“That’s why we have one more reason to focus completely on ourselves. Nothing is easy for us at the moment,” Tuchel said. “The situation is crystal clear. We have to deliver.”

Former Chelsea, Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain boss Tuchel has experienced a turbulent start to his Bayern reign, since being appointed on March 25, overseeing exits from the DFB-Pokal and Champions League.

Should Bayern also fail to land the league title that has been their preserve for the last decade, it would compound this season’s woes.

A draw against Hoffenheim in mid-April was another damaging result, and Bayern cannot afford to fluff their lines this weekend.

“We are very honest with each other, very critical,” Tuchel said. “The team know my opinion on the Mainz game.

“In sport there is always the opportunity to make amends. In the last two games we lost points after taking the lead. That’s very atypical for us.

“Honesty and openness is the best form of interaction. We’ve shown that we can do it. It’s more the consistency that we lack.”

Gary O’Neil believes Bournemouth need one final push to secure their Premier League status, with the Cherries closing in on safety ahead of Sunday’s meeting with struggling Leeds United.

Bournemouth clinched their third successive away victory on Thursday, beating Southampton 1-0 to leave Saints staring at relegation and take themselves seven points clear of the bottom three.

With the most intense relegation battle in recent memory set to go to the wire, O’Neil is keen to ensure Bournemouth do not rest on their laurels.  

“It’s still about avoiding the bottom three,” O’Neil said. “I still believe 36 points could be relegated.

“I think maybe the world felt we were fine when we left the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and then you get a performance against West Ham where we let ourselves down, so that’s a real good lesson for the boys.

“You think everything is rosy and then you get a kick up the backside.

“Hopefully that prepares us well for what will be a tough ask against Leeds, to go off the back of a huge effort last night, with two days’ fewer recovery against a very intense team.”

While Bournemouth are closing in on safety, Leeds are growing increasingly desperate amid an alarming drop-off.

Javi Gracia’s side followed up 5-1 and 6-1 defeats to Crystal Palace and Liverpool by drawing a six-pointer against Leicester City on Tuesday, Patrick Bamford missing a glaring chance for a late winner.

With Leeds one point clear of danger and facing several challenging fixtures, Gracia has attracted fierce criticism from areas of the club’s fanbase.

Asked if he was worried about his own future on Friday, Gracia said: “I’m just concerned about the situation of the team.

“When I arrived, we were in a worse position.

“We wanted to get more points but we are focused on trying our best in the five games left, and that starts with Bournemouth.”

PLAYERS TO WATCH

Bournemouth – Dominic Solanke

Having scored 17 goals in 23 home league games for Bournemouth in the Championship last season, Solanke has netted just once in 14 appearances at the Vitality Stadium this campaign.

However, the former Liverpool and Chelsea striker has 12 goal involvements overall in the Premier League this term (five goals, seven assists) – at least three more than any of his team-mates (Marcus Tavernier has nine).

Leeds United – Jack Harrison

As well as leading the way for chances created (50) and assists (seven) for Leeds in the Premier League this season, Harrison has made more ball carries (309) and carried the ball a greater distance (3,479 metres) than any other player for the Whites in the competition this term.

Meanwhile, only Rodrigo (11) and Luis Sinisterra (five) have bettered Harrison’s tally of four league goals for Leeds this campaign. With Gracia’s men on the slide, they need the winger to provide some attacking inspiration.

MATCH PREDICTION – DRAW

Leeds have won 10 of their 13 previous league games against Bournemouth (D2 L1), including nine of the last 10. That represents their best win rate against any opponent they have faced at least 10 times in their league history (77 per cent).

However, only Nottingham Forest (six) have won fewer away points than Leeds’ nine in the Premier League this season, and the visitors have only kept one clean sheet in their last 18 road trips.

While Bournemouth’s need for points is less pressing than that of Leeds following their midweek victory, the Cherries have taken 15 points from their last eight league games (W5 L3), so they will be hopeful of picking up a result to inch them closer to safety.

OPTA WIN PROBABILITY

Bournemouth – 34.7 per cent

Leeds United – 37.1 per cent

Draw – 28.2 per cent

Recommended bets: 
– Back West Ham Win and Under 3.5 Goals 
– Back Brentford -1 on Handicap 
– Back Brighton Win and Under 3.5 Goals

There may be only three games taking place in the Premier League on Saturday but there is plenty to look forward to, highlighted by Brighton putting their Europa League aspirations on the line against Wolves.

There is also plenty riding on the top-flight fixture from Brentford, where Nottingham Forest are out to bolster their survival hopes, while Crystal Palace entertain West Ham at Selhurst Park. 

The pick of Saturday’s trio of matches comes from the Amex Stadium, where Brighton are looking for a positive response after Wednesday’s 3-1 defeat at Nottingham Forest.

The Seagulls sit eighth and still have high hopes of qualifying for the knockout stages of the Europa League, but they cannot afford another setback at home to Wolves.

Forest’s victory over Brighton saw them move out of the relegation places but there is still plenty of work to be done to secure their survival.

Steve Cooper’s side head to Brentford bidding to build on that success but the Bees will be buzzing after Wednesday’s hard-fought 2-0 win at London rivals Chelsea.

Crystal Palace and West Ham kickstart Saturday’s action in the lunchtime kick-off and the Hammers are looking for a third straight away victory after successes at Fulham and Bournemouth.

Here are our expert writers’ top selections for each of those games.

Crystal Palace vs West Ham (Saturday, 12.30pm)

Crystal Palace’s improved form under Roy Hodgson is now seemingly over after a goalless draw at home to Everton and Tuesday’s 2-0 defeat at Wolves, where they appeared more like their old selves at the end of Patrick Vieira’s reign.

Blunt in attack and still prone to defensive errors, the Eagles may be there for the taking against a West Ham side that has picked up back-to-back away wins at Fulham and Bournemouth.

The Hammers have won on their last two trips to Selhurst Park and they could be value to repeat the trick against Palace, who have failed to score in 10 of their last 20 games in the Premier League.

Back West Ham Win & Under 3.5 goals at 11/5 with LiveScore Bet.

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest (Saturday, 3pm)

Brentford’s winless run was starting to get a little concerning for Thomas Frank, even if they were already assured of their place in the top flight next season.

However, the Bees are back on track after their midweek 2-0 win at Chelsea and they are fancied to have too much firepower for relegation-threatened Nottingham Forest, who have lost six straight league matches away from home.

Frank’s men have the attacking talent to ensure they win by more than one goal, as they have done in nine of their 11 total league victories to date.

Back Brentford -1 on the Handicap at 23/20 with LiveScore Bet.

Brighton vs Wolves (Saturday, 3pm)

Brighton’s European challenge faltered at the City Ground, but that was probably down to Nottingham Forest catching them a few days after their emotionally and physically draining FA Cup semi-final defeat.

Robert De Zerbi’s side have been superb at home this year, winning six of their last eight games at the Amex Stadium in all competitions, and can have the beating of a Wolves side with nothing to play for.

Three of the Seagulls’ last four home league wins have been accompanied by clean sheets and they can grind out a low-scoring win against Wolves, who are winless in five away league games.

Back Brighton Win and Under 3.5 goals at 6/5 with LiveScore Bet.

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