MY ACCOUNT
– Derby have won seven of their last eight games at Pride Park
– West Ham have lost 13 or their last 18 away games in the Premier League
– Recommended bet: Back Derby draw no bet
The final tie of the FA Cup fourth round takes place on Monday night and League One Derby’s clash with West Ham has all the makings of a classic upset.
Derby are in terrific form under Paul Warne, unbeaten in 19 matches in all competitions with seven wins in their last eight games at Pride Park.
The Rams took Liverpool to penalties after a goalless EFL Cup tie at Anfield earlier in the season and they should be confident of rattling a West Ham side who are struggling in the Premier League and have been woeful on the road recently.
Team news
Experienced defender James Chester is Derby’s only injury absentee and the in-form David McGoldrick is expected to lead the line for the hosts.
West Ham are missing injured forwards Gianluca Scamacca, Maxwel Cornet and Danny Ings, who would have been ineligible for this tie anyway after his move from Aston Villa.
Manager David Moyes has dismissed speculation that Michail Antonio might leave the club before the end of the transfer window.
The stats
Derby are on a fantastic run of form, unbeaten in 19 league and cup matches — including their shootout defeat at Liverpool in the League Cup.
The Rams have kept seven clean sheets in their last nine home games in all competitions.
Republic of Ireland striker McGoldrick has scored eight goals in his last seven appearances at Pride Park, including hat-tricks against Bristol Rovers and Forest Green.
West Ham have a miserable away record in the FA Cup, winning only five of their last 20 road trips in normal time.
They did win 1-0 at Brentford in the third round but Said Benrahma’s goal was their only shot on target.
The Hammers have also endured a lean run on their travels in the Premier League, losing 13 of their last 18 games away from the London Stadium, with eight of those defeats by a 1-0 scoreline.
Prediction
There is a significant gulf between the bottom of the Premier League and the top of League One but West Ham’s poor away form and underwhelming FA Cup history suggests they should be opposed on their trip to the rampant Rams.
Moyes’s men claimed a vital 2-0 home win over troubled Everton in their last league outing but they have taken just two points from their previous eight away matches and Derby have turned Pride Park into a fortress this season.
The Hammers are likely to rest the odd first-team regular too, with league fixtures against Newcastle, Chelsea and Tottenham on the horizon but Moyes will not be taking anything for granted against hosts who are on a real hot streak.
Derby were not at their best in their last League One fixture at Port Vale but still came back to win 2-1 with goals in the 87th and 89th minutes.
Their defence may well stand firm against a Hammers side whose top league scorer, Jarrod Bowen, has just four goals this season and the Rams are worth chancing on in the draw no bet market.
Back Derby draw no bet, available at 11/5 with LiveScore Bet.
