Inter Milan vs AC Milan predictions: In-form Inter unlikely to slip up

Inter Milan have won their last seven matches in all competitions
AC Milan have scored more than once in four of their last 20 league and cup games
Recommended bet: Inter Milan at 21/20 with LiveScore Bet

Inter Milan were the form team coming into the first leg of the Champions League semi-final and they needed just over ten minutes to take charge of the tie against a stunned AC Milan.

Goals from experienced duo Edin Dzeko and Henrikh Mkhitaryan in the seventh and 11th minutes earned Inter a 2-0 win in what was, nominally at least, the away leg at San Siro.

Both sides also hit the woodwork in a compelling contest, but Milan mustered just two shots on target and, after Saturday’s 2-0 defeat at Serie A strugglers Spezia, they will need a special performance if they are to deny Inter a place in the final.

Team news

Inter boss Simone Inzaghi may stick with the same team who started last week’s first leg, although Croatia midfielder Marcelo Brozovic and Belgium striker Romelu Lukaku are top-class options if he decides to freshen things up.

For AC Milan, all eyes are on Portugal winger Rafael Leao, who missed the first leg through injury.

He did not feature against Spezia at the weekend but he is a key part of Milan’s attacking unit and coach Stefano Pioli will be desperate to get him on the park.

Ismael Bennacer, who scored the first-leg winner against Napoli in the quarter-finals, is injured and veteran striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic is not in the Champions League squad.

The stats

Inter Milan have won their last seven games in all competitions, five of them to nil and have been leading at half-time and full-time in five of their last six matches.

The Nerazzurri have kept seven clean sheets in their last ten Champions League matches.

AC Milan have lost their last three derbies with Inter to nil.

Milan have scored more than once in only four of their last 20 games and the Rossoneri’s last ten matches have all featured under 2.5 goals.

Prediction

After their horrible start to the first leg, seven-time European champions AC Milan have a mountain to climb and the tie is set up perfectly for Inter Milan to win the second leg.

Inter made it seven straight wins in all competitions by beating Sassuolo 4-2 in Serie A at the weekend and Milan are in the unfamiliar position of having to chase the tie.

In the previous two rounds of the Champions League, the Rossoneri beat both Tottenham and Napoli 1-0 in the first leg at home, but now they have to take the initiative and that is unlikely to suit them.

Inter have won this term’s last three derby meetings by scorelines of 3-0, 1-0 and 2-0 and the 2009/10 Champions League winners are well worth backing to march into the final with a second-leg win over their city rivals. 

Back Inter Milan, available at 21/20 with LiveScore Bet

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