MY ACCOUNT
– Under 2.5 goals has landed in 14 of Sheffield Wednesday’s away L1 fixtures
– Fewer than three goals have been scored in last three H2H meetings
– Recommended bet: Under 2.5 goals
The League One play-offs get under way on Thursday when Peterborough welcome Sheffield Wednesday to Weston Homes Stadium.
Peterborough ended the regular season placed sixth after they earned a 2-0 win at Barnsley on the final day, taking Derby County’s spot following their defeat to Sheffield Wednesday.
The Owls were already assured of being in the post-season after a strong end to the campaign and they finished third – two points adrift of automatic promotion.
Team news
Darren Ferguson has the luxury of almost a clean bill of health for Friday’s encounter.
Left-back Nathanael Ogbeta is the only absentee due to injury with Dan Butler and Harrison Burrows both options to deputise.
Sheffield Wednesday are without forward Mallik Wilks and midfielder George Byers through injury.
Michael Ihiekwe recently returned from long-term injury and could be drafted into the XI.
The stats
Peterborough conceded 54 goals across their 46 games in League One this season – more than any other side to have finished in the top nine.
In contrast, Sheffield Wednesday had the third-best defensive record during the regular season, conceding just 37.
The Owls have failed to win any of their last five visits to Peterborough, losing each of the last three, including a 2-0 defeat earlier this season.
Posh striker Jonson Clarke-Harris was the joint-top scorer in League One, registering 26 times.
Prediction
Picking a winner from the first leg of a play-off tie is always tricky, with both sides knowing they still have another 90 minutes to come and potentially unwilling to fully commit.
The form book suggests a home win is the most likely outcome if you are tempted to back a victory — Peterborough are 17/10 with LiveScore Bet — with each of the last four meetings between the pair going the way of the hosts.
However, Sheffield Wednesday finished 19 points clear of Peterborough during the regular season.
It is also worth noting that the Owls had the second-highest points haul in the division, claiming 42 on their travels.
With that in mind, dipping into the over/under goals market looks a safer option.
Fewer than three goals were scored in 14 of their 23 away assignments and this has all the makings of a low-scoring affair.
Under 2.5 goals has landed in three of Peterborough’s last five at home and in each of the last two when the Owls have come to town.
Back under 2.5 goals at 10/13 with LiveScore Bet.
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