– 11 of Leeds’ 31 PL games have seen both teams score before HT, including the last three
– Forest have lost nine of their 15 away PL games by two goals or more
– Firmino is enjoying his best season for Liverpool in terms of goals/min
Two relegation-threatened clubs with suspect away records travel to teams fighting for European football when Leeds trek to Fulham and Nottingham Forest head to Liverpool this weekend.
These two clashes are the focus of our latest Saturday Bet Builder.
Fulham vs Leeds United (Saturday, 12:30pm)
Bet 1: Wilfried Gnonto to receive a card
Gnonto has been frustrated by his lack of game-time recently, and that showed in a recent substitute appearance against Crystal Palace when he attempted to kick anything that moved on the pitch apart from the ball.
The Italian duly collected his fifth Premier League yellow card of the season, which is quite a high number for an attacking player with only 12 starts to his name.
Gnonto has been cautioned seven times in 1,347 minutes of first-team football for Leeds and could collect another booking at Craven Cottage whether he returns to the starting line-up or not.
Bet 2: Both teams to score in the first half
Leeds have the highest ratio of games in which both teams have scored in the Premier League this season, with 19 of their 31 matches featuring goals at both ends.
That trait extends to the first 45 minutes of action as no other top-flight team comes close to matching Leeds’ 11 games (35%) in which both teams have scored before the half-time whistle.
Fulham are a pressing team that like to get after opponents from the outset, which could lead to an exciting first period with goals for each team again.
Bet 3: Fulham will win the second half
Fulham outscored Leeds after half-time in both of the clubs’ previous meetings this season, and the Whites have been fading badly after the break recently.
Javi Gracia’s side have conceded eight goals in the second halves of their last two matches, while Fulham came on strong to win at Everton last weekend, scoring two goals without reply.
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest (Saturday, 3pm)
Bet 1: Liverpool to win by 2+ goals
Liverpool’s scoring efficiency against Leeds was outstanding as they plundered six goals from just seven shots on target.
They created high-quality chances and should do again against a Forest team have lost their last five away league games, four of them by two goals or more.
Liverpool have won three of their last four home Premier League matches, and all three were by two goals or more.
Bet 2: Under 3 corners in the match for Nottingham Forest
Liverpool racked up their best possession and passing stats of the season against Leeds on Monday, and it cannot be a coincidence that it came after Trent Alexander-Arnold’s move into a hybrid midfield position.
The England international dictated the play and should do so again on Saturday against a Forest side that are unlikely to see much of the ball.
This scenario may restrict their ability to win corners at Anfield, where Liverpool have allowed an average of 2.4 per game from opposing sides in the Premier League.
Forest won just two corners in the reverse fixture earlier this year, and a similar number may be the limit again.
Bet 3: Roberto Firmino to score anytime
The Samba star is no longer a guaranteed starter in Liverpool’s line-up, but his goals-per-minute ratio for the Reds have never been better.
Firmino has scored nine goals, despite playing just 1136 minutes of Premier League football this season. Eight of those goals have come at Anfield in 585 minutes of play.
It would be no surprise to see the popular Brazilian pop up to score a tenth league goal of the season against Forest, who have the second-worst defensive record in the Premier League this term when away from home.
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